Thursday 11 April 2013

Colorado State University Hurricane Team Predicts Active 2013 Hurricane Season

Colorado State University Hurricane Team Predicts Active 2013 Hurricane Season, The upcoming hurricane season in the Atlantic is expected to be an active one, according to forecasters from Colorado State University.

The 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season will experience above average activity with 18 named storms and 9 hurricanes. Four of the 9 hurricanes will be major with sustained winds of at least 111 mph (Cat. 3 or better), according to the leading U.S. storm research team.

An average season brings about 12 tropical storms, 6-7 hurricanes and two major hurricanes in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, according to CSU.

The prediction for a busier 2013 season was based on two factors: 1) the availability of warm waters in the Atlantic Ocean and 2) the lack of an El Nino this coming summer and fall.

El Nino is a warming of surface waters over the equatorial Pacific and is a weather phenomenon that is credited for suppressing hurricance formation in the Atlantic Basin.

Researchers said there was a 72 percent chance that a major hurricane will hit the U.S. coast this year, compared with a historical average of 52 percent, a 48 percent chance a major hurricane will hit the U.S.

East Coast, compared with a historical average of 31 percent, and a 47 percent chance one would hit the Gulf of Mexico coast, compared with an average of 30 percent.

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